Let me throw my ' off the top of my head' take on the Nigel article out there for fun:
I found the Nigel article interesting but somewhat suspect on the decaff question personally. Sure, 80% is probably a bogus claim, but to listen to him rant _no_ caffeine is removed in the first 5 minutes. There were too many bad assumptions and as you point out the math doesn't add up. In fact doing my own research from primary sources made it onto my 'todo' list after I read it. I got the feeling he had a belief he was supporting not that he was truly looking for the truth. The sections on variance due to farming techniques, ect was pretty good though, mostly because he actually included the facts and let them speak.
1) Without proof that the first 90 seconds is linear, extrapolation means nothing. the rest of the data clearly indicates a non-linear curve IMO (only 3% or so between 10-15 minutes...). Not only that, he discarded the figures from the study that stated 49% in the first 90 seconds - totally ignored them in his arguments, despite this being the closest to the brew times in question. I'm wondering why he even bothered to include them.
2) Water decaffeination _is_ used in the industry, depspite his 'logical' arguement which implied it wasn't. This was the first thing that alerted me that this was
an axe grinding, not a fact finding mission. And yes, water decaffeination is a lot more involved than flash infusing tea for 30 seconds, but water _is_ used for decaffeination of tea and he implied it wasn't.
3) If you do a multiple short steep, the amount of caffein in any given steep is very small comparatively, and furthermore you start 'fresh' each brew. If 17% of the total ammount comes out in the first steep (my linear extrapolation based on the numbers, and my hunch it it isn't linear if you look at the data he provides from the hicks experiment) then the next steep logically would be as if the tea had 17% less total caffeen and you would only get 17% of that, etc. No mention of this is anywhere in the paper, so IMO it's crap.
100 of caffene:
1st steep - 17% of 100 = 17
2nd steep - 17% of 83 = 14
3rd steep = 17% of 69 = 12
4th steep = 17% of 57 = 10
53/100 in 4 steeps = 2 minutes
or, if you throw out the first brew...
36/100 in 4 steeps
Certainly far different than the 9% he claims and yes, also far different than 80% in the first 30 seconds, but this is with the linear assumption, which is clearly false if you look at the data.
I agree with him that any claim that 80% of the caffein comes out in the first 30 seconds is probably wrong, the article did debunk that I think, but I don't think it is the 9% he is claiming at one point in the diatribe.
bottom line - 80% in the first 30 seconds is clearly debunked, but I personally don't buy his 9%, it's probably closer to 30% for the typical gong fu cycle.
PS - try your public library Mary, they usually provide full article searches for free, mine does. This is usually the best way to find older stuff. Most of them use the EBSCO database and you can usually buy the article from another organization, I forget their name. My preliminary research actually found a very recent (2007) article on a study that used 30 second seep times. Here is the abstract...
TI- Effects of different steeping methods and storage on caffeine, catechins and gallic acid in bag tea infusions.
AF- Department of Health Diet and Restaurant Management, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
AU- Yang DJ; Hwang LS; Lin JT
LA- English
SO- Journal Of Chromatography. A, 2007 Jul 13; Vol. 1156 (1-2), pp. 312-20. Electronic Publication
TA- J Chromatogr A
YR- 2007
MD- Print-Electronic
ME- Cited Medium: Print
EP- 2006 Dec 11
CY- Netherlands
IS- 0021-9673(Print)
PT- Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
JT- 9318488
SB- MEDLINE
MH- Food Handling*
MH- Caffeine/*analysis
MH- Catechin/*analysis
MH- Gallic Acid/*analysis
MH- Tea/*chemistry
MH- Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid/methods
MH- Temperature
AA- Y
AB- Bag teas, packed 3g of ground black, green, oolong, paochoung and pu-erh tea leaves (the particle size used was 1-2mm), were steeped in 150 mL of 70, 85 or 100 degrees C hot water to study the effects of the number of steeping (the same bag tea was steeped repeatedly eight times, 30s each time, as done in China for making ceremonial tea) and varied steeping durations (0.5-4 min) on caffeine, catechins and gallic acid in tea infusions. The changes in tea infusions during storage at 4 or 25 degrees C for 0-48 h and the variations in these compounds of bag tea infused with 150 mL of 4 or 25 degrees C cold water for 0.5-16 h were also investigated. A HPLC method with a C18 column and a step gradient solvent system consisting of acetonitrile and 0.9% acetic acid in deionized water was used for analysis. Results for all kinds of tea samples showed that the second tea infusion contained the highest contents of caffeine, catechins and gallic acid when bag teas were steeped in 70 degrees C water. It was different from that steeped at 85 and 100 degrees C, the highest contents existed in the first infusion. These compounds decreased gradually in later infusions. Higher amounts of caffeine, catechins and gallic acid could be released from bag teas as hotter water was used. As steeping duration prolonged, these ingredients increased progressively, however, their levels were lower than that cumulated from the infusions with the identical bag tea prepared recurrently at the same temperature and time points. (-)-Gallocatechin gallate and (+)-catechin existed in these tea infusions rarely and could not be detected until a certain amount of them infusing. Except gallic acid that showed a significant increase and caffeine that exhibited no significant change, all kinds of catechins decreased appreciably after tea infusions were stored at 25 degrees C for 36 h; nevertheless, all of them showed no evident changes at 4 degrees C storage. The caffeine, catechins and gallic acid in tea infused with cold water also increased with increasing duration. Their contents in 25 degrees C steeped tea were higher than that made at 4 degrees C; moreover, their infusion rates from bag teas to cold water were markedly lower than that steeped in hot water. Infusing efficiencies of non-gallated catechins were higher than gallated catechins under cold water steeping.
RN- 0 (Tea)
RN- 149-91-7 (Gallic Acid)
RN- 154-23-4 (Catechin)
RN- 58-08-2 (Caffeine)
LR- 20071115
EM- 20070625
DA- 20070925
UD- 20071207
PM- 17161409